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Geopolitics · Global

Security Council poll leaves all seven secretary-general candidates short of full backing

The UN Security Council’s informal poll found that none of the seven candidates to succeed António Guterres had support from all five permanent members. Rafael Grossi and Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett each received two “discourage” votes, while the selection remains unresolved.

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What happened

Key facts

  • The informal Security Council poll found that none of seven candidates had support from all five permanent members with veto power (per newscord.org, mercopress.com, nst.com.my).
  • A diplomat said each of the seven candidates faced a veto from one permanent member (per newscord.org).
  • Rafael Grossi and Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett each received two “discourage” votes and were among the three leading candidates (per newscord.org, mercopress.com).
  • The poll asked the 15 Security Council members to mark “encourage,” “discourage” or “no opinion” for each candidate (per newscord.org).
  • António Guterres is due to leave the secretary-general post at the end of the year (per newscord.org, mercopress.com).

The brief

The UN Security Council’s informal poll found that none of the seven candidates seeking to succeed António Guterres had support from all five permanent members, leaving the selection unresolved. A diplomat said each candidate faced a veto from one of those members. The poll was secret, and the reported outcome does not identify which permanent member opposed each candidate.

The 15 council members were asked to mark “encourage,” “discourage” or “no opinion” for each candidate. Rafael Grossi and Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett each received two “discourage” votes and were among the three leading candidates. The account does not give the full vote totals or identify the third leading candidate. No candidate had withdrawn as the race continued.

Mike Waltz said the United Nations needs “strong, energetic leadership.” He also said the United States would welcome a woman as secretary-general if she were the best candidate. His remarks set out the U.S. position on leadership and gender, but the reported poll result indicates that no candidate had secured backing across all five permanent members.

Rodrigues-Birkett, Guyana’s ambassador to the United Nations, made a separate case for representation and regional rotation. She said selecting no woman would send a negative message, while stressing that she was seeking the role on her ability and competence rather than her gender.

She also called for respect for the rotation principle, under which a candidate from Latin America and the Caribbean is due to take the post. The accounts emphasize different parts of the contest. The poll report focuses on the candidates’ lack of support from all five permanent members, the veto barrier described by a diplomat, and the U.S. position stated by Waltz.

Mercopress foregrounds Rodrigues-Birkett’s arguments about gender equality and the regional rotation principle. These are distinct considerations in the selection; the reporting does not establish that either determines how council members will vote. The timing matters because Guterres is due to leave the secretary-general post at the end of the year.

The poll has exposed that none of the seven candidates has the support of all five permanent members, but the report does not show which candidate, if any, can overcome that obstacle. The process therefore remains open, with no withdrawal reported and no successor identified.

The immediate questions are whether candidates can build support among the permanent members and whether the council will settle on a successor before Guterres leaves.

The reported poll gives a snapshot of opposition, not a final selection: members could express encouragement, discouragement or no opinion, and the account does not provide candidate-by-candidate tallies beyond the two discouragement votes each received by Grossi and Rodrigues Birkett.

Why it matters

  • The selection process faces a concrete institutional hurdle: a diplomat said every one of the seven candidates faced a veto from a permanent member, and none had backing from all five.
  • The 15 Security Council members used “encourage,” “discourage” or “no opinion” marks, but the reported account gives only partial vote information, limiting what can be concluded about each candidate’s support.
  • Rodrigues-Birkett’s candidacy raises two stated selection considerations: representation of women and the rotation principle favoring a candidate from Latin America and the Caribbean.
  • Guterres is due to leave at the end of the year, making the unresolved council selection consequential for the handover of the secretary-general post.

What to watch next

  • Whether any of the seven candidates withdraws; the race was reported to be continuing without a withdrawal.
  • Whether the Security Council’s permanent members change or clarify their support for any candidate, given the diplomat’s account that each faced a veto.
  • Whether the council reaches a successor decision before António Guterres leaves at the end of the year.
  • Whether members’ stated positions on gender representation and Latin America and the Caribbean’s rotation claim figure in the selection.

How it's being covered

Coverage analysisShow details
4 source articles · 4 unique outlets
Coverage mix: Mixed· 1 Left · 1 Center · 1 Right
Where the outlets are based: US/Canada 25% · Europe 25% · Other 50%
Coverage mix
Mixed
Left
Center
Right
1 outlet
1 outlet
1 outlet
The marker shows coverage balance: each unique outlet counts once. 1 unrated outlet is not included.
Geography
Where the outlets covering this story are based.
4 unique outletsDominant coverage: US/Canada
How we measure coverage

How outlets' accounts compare

2 framing differences · 2 uncorroborated claims · 2 information gaps
Sources broadly agree on the core facts but frame the story differently.Compared across 2 reports whose full text Updat3 used; 2 other outlets were checked by headline only.
Framing / emphasis differences
Sources agree on the facts but emphasise different angles, actors or consequences.
  • Newscord centers the poll result, the veto barrier described by a diplomat, and Mike Waltz’s leadership remarks; Mercopress centers Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s arguments for gender equality and regional rotation.
  • The claim that all seven candidates faced a veto is attributed to a diplomat in Newscord’s account; the report does not identify the diplomat.
Updat3: The underlying facts agree; only the emphasis differs.
One-sided or uncorroborated claims
Claims that come from one party or one source family and are not independently corroborated.
  • Mike Waltz said the UN needs “strong, energetic leadership” and that the United States would welcome a woman if she were the best candidate.
  • Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett said choosing no woman would send a negative message and said she was running on ability and competence.
Updat3: Not independently corroborated yet — treat as a claim, not an established fact.
Not established by the reporting
Information the available reporting does not contain or confirm. This is a gap, not a disagreement.
  • The sources do not provide the full tally for any candidate, the identity of the third leading candidate, or a confirmed date for a final council decision.
  • The reported account does not identify which permanent member opposed each candidate or provide complete candidate-by-candidate vote totals.
Updat3: Updat3 cannot conclude anything about this from the current sources.

Timeline

Developments from this story's sources, dated background we compiled and fact-checked, and our earlier coverage. Each row says which.
  1. No woman has held the secretary-general post since the United Nations began operating in 1945.
    Background · from our historical context
  2. The procedure is rooted in Article 97 of the UN Charter, signed on June 26, 1945: the General Assembly appoints the secretary-general on the Security Council’s recommendation.
    Background · from our historical context
  3. The Council’s informal polling practice predates those reforms: in 2006, Ban Ki-moon emerged as the leading candidate in successive straw polls before the Council recommended him and the Assembly appointed him.
    Background · from our historical context

How we got here

The selection process that produced António Guterres’s second term began in 2021, when the Security Council recommended him for reappointment and the General Assembly appointed him on June 18. His second five-year term began on January 1, 2022, and was due to end on December 31, 2026.

In 2016, the Council had recommended Guterres after conducting an informal series of polls; the General Assembly appointed him on October 13 for a term beginning in 2017. The procedure is rooted in Article 97 of the UN Charter, signed on June 26, 1945: the General Assembly appoints the secretary-general on the Security Council’s recommendation.

Original sources

1 of 4 articles · US/Canada · Show all

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