Ifop: 46% of Muslim respondents in France would consider leaving if Le Pen wins in 2027

An Ifop survey found that 46 percent of Muslim respondents in France would consider leaving the country if Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 presidential election. The finding describes respondents’ stated intentions in a hypothetical scenario, not a prediction of how many people would emigrate or an estimate of the election result.

Ifop conducted the survey for the magazine Marianne. The survey also found that 81 percent of Muslim respondents believed a Le Pen victory would bring increased aggression and discrimination against their community. A further 27 percent said they might conceal their religious identity under that scenario.

The survey included a separate finding about Jewish respondents: 44 percent said they would consider leaving France if Le Pen wins. Streamline Feed emphasizes this comparison and presents the figures as evidence of concern about the possible social and political climate under a National Rally government.

Its account gives no further detail about the survey’s methods or the Jewish respondents’ reasons. Brussels Signal highlights the Muslim respondents’ answers about discrimination and religious expression, as well as a result on secularism: 53 percent of all respondents opposed women wearing the Islamic headscarf in the street.

That result concerns all respondents and should not be read as the view of Muslim respondents alone. The reported figures indicate different attitudes across the survey questions; they do not establish how respondents would act in practice. The poll’s focus is Le Pen’s possible presidency in 2027.

Brussels Signal reports that she declared her candidacy on July 7, 2026, and says she has led first-round voting-intention surveys, typically at 30 to 35 percent. Those figures describe polling and her campaign announcement, not the election’s eventual outcome. The two reports place different emphasis on the results.

Brussels Signal foregrounds Muslim respondents’ concerns about discrimination and the headscarf question, while Streamline Feed pairs the Muslim figure with the result for Jewish respondents and describes concern about the potential climate under a National Rally government. The reports do not give competing estimates of the same survey result.

The findings concern what respondents say they would consider doing if Le Pen wins; they do not show that respondents have decided to leave or conceal their identities. The survey therefore records stated concerns and hypothetical intentions, while the 2027 election remains the scenario on which those answers depend.